Sunday, September 8th, 2013 - Roy Morgan Research

Roy Morgan-Channel 10 Exit Poll. 4pm sample 4,615 Australian electors.

 

PRIMARY VOTE

TIME

L-NP

ALP

GREENS

PALMER

OTHERS

2010 ELECTION

43.6%

38.0%

11.8%

0.0%

6.6%

SEP.  6TH

44.0%

31.5%

10.5%

6.5%

7.5%

EXIT POLLS

 

 

 

 

 

12PM

42.0%

34.5%

11.0%

5.0%

7.5%

1PM

42.0% 34.5% 11.0% 5.5% 7.0%

2PM

42.0% 34.5% 10.5% 5.5% 7.5%

3PM

42.5% 33.5% 11.0%
5.0% 8.0%

4PM

42.5% 33.5% 11.5% 5.0% 7.5%

5PM

         

6PM

         

7PM

         

4pm sample: 4,615

PALMER UNITED PARTY IS POLLING 9% IN QUEENSLAND & 5% IN NEW SOUTH WALES & 4.5% IN WESTERN AUSTRALIA

PALMER’S PREFERENCES ARE BEING ALLOCATED 65% L-NP & 35% ALP

IF PALMER VOTERS VOTE THE CARD THE 2PP WILL BE UP TO 1.5% MORE TO THE L-NP (53.5%) CF. ALP (46.5%).


TWO-PARTY PREFERRED VOTE

 

L-NP

ALP

2010 ELECTION

49.9%

50.1%

SEP.  6TH

53.5%

46.5%

EXIT POLLS

 

 

12PM

52%

48%

1PM

51.5% 48.5%

2PM

52% 48%

3PM

52% 48%

4PM

52% 48%

5PM

   

6PM

   

7PM

   
             
             

Roy Morgan Channel 10 Exit Poll - 4pm

 

ABOUT THE MORGAN POLL

The Morgan Poll is Australia’s most respected public opinion poll and has proved itself repeatedly in more than 75 Federal and State Elections and national referenda. The Morgan Poll was the most accurate public opinion poll in predicting the outcome of the 2010 Federal Election, and was first to call a ‘Hung Parliament’.

Because Roy Morgan Research is not owned by a media corporation, or affiliated with any political party or union, our polls are independent and free of hidden agendas.

Today the Morgan Poll conducts a comprehensive multi-mode interviewing survey with a cross-section of over 3,000 Australian electors aged 18+ each week. The multi-mode Morgan Poll interviews via face-to-face interviewing, SMS mobile phone interviewing and an Online survey each week to achieve the most accurate polling results.

Morgan Poll Accuracy — Recent Federal Elections (2007 & 2010)

The Morgan Poll has proven to be consistently the most accurate regular poll in recent Australian Elections — including the 2007 Federal Election & 2010 Federal Election.

The Morgan Poll was the most accurate of all polling companies at the 2010 Federal Election for the primary vote and clearly second-most accurate for the two-party preferred predictions (sample 1,872 electors).

The Morgan Poll was the most accurate of all polling companies at the 2007 Federal Election for both primary vote and two-party preferred predictions (sample 2,115 electors).

Contact Profile

Roy Morgan Research


Roy Morgan Research is Australia’s best known and longest established market research and public opinion survey company. Roy Morgan Single Source is thorough, accurate, and provides comprehensive, directly applicable information about current and future customers. It is unique in that it directs all the questions to each individual from a base survey sample of around 55,000 interviews in Australia and 15,000 interviews in New Zealand annually - the largest Single Source databases in the world. The questions asked relate to lifestyle and attitudes, media consumption habits (including TV, radio, newspapers, magazines, cinema, catalogues, pay TV and the Internet), brand and product usage, purchase intentions, retail visitations, service provider preferences, financial information and recreation and leisure activities. This lead product is supported by a nationally networked, consultancy-orientated market research capability.
Shaun Ellis
P: 03 9224 5332
W: www.roymorgan.com

Keywords

#ausvotes #auspol Australian election, election results, latest election results

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