Data from Roy Morgan Research shows which professions are most likely to vote above the norm for each of the major parties this September. View the attached table for a clear view of which jobs are more likely to vote which way.
An electorate of only Train and Tram Drivers, Intelligence and Policy Analysts and Mail Sorters would give a landslide to the ALP (but the party would be left seat-less if only Defence Force personnel, Manufacturers and Financial Advisers got a ballot), while if only Primary School Teachers voted, we’d have a neck-and-neck Federal Election this September.
60% of Crane, Hoist and Lift Operators, 53% of Train and Tram Drivers and 50% of Food and Drink Factory Workers give their first preference vote to the ALP, while over 60% of Defence Force members, Chief Executives, Police, Manufacturers, and Financial Investment Advisers, Managers and Brokers vote Liberal.
Overall, jobs within the larger categories of Labourers, Machinery Operators and Drivers, Technicians and Trades Workers, and Community and Personal Service Workers are more likely than average to vote Labor, while Clerical and Administrative Workers and Managers are more likely to vote Liberal and those classified as Professionals are over 50% more likely to vote Greens.
The professions most skewed toward voting Greens cover a wide range of professions, from the unsurprising Social Professionals (33%) and Environmental Scientists (30%) to Intelligence and Policy Analysts (29%), Judicial and Other Legal Professionals (28%) and Psychologists (27%). Other professions with a more than double-the-average rate of voting Greens include Medical Laboratory Scientists, Librarians, and Software and Applications Programmers.
The professionals most likely to vote Family First are Meat, Poultry and Seafood Process Workers, Delivery Drivers, Waiters and Dental Assistants. Ministers of Religion are the 7th most likely at 7%—just behind Retail Supervisors.
Farmers of all stripes dominate the National Party’s list, although Cabinetmakers, Hotel and Motel Managers and Bus and Coach Drivers make the Top 10.
The proportion of Plasterers and Midwives voting Labor is dead-on average, as is that of Truck Drivers voting Liberal and Storepersons voting Greens.
Michele Levine, CEO, Roy Morgan Research, says:
“It is interesting that while each of Labor’s Top 10 jobs is blue collar—consistent with the party’s traditional base—there is more variety within the Liberal and Greens lists: CEOs and Livestock Farmers are both over 50% more likely to vote Liberal than average, while Policy Analysts, Graphic Designers and Social Workers are all almost three times more likely than average to go Greens.
“Survey Interviewers are 18% more likely to... give no answer when asked for their first preference vote.”
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source (Australia) January 2011 – December 2012, n = 87,416.
Base: Australian Electors. Professions with a sample size <100 have been excluded.
Roy Morgan Research
Roy Morgan Research is Australia’s best known and longest established market research and public opinion survey company. Roy Morgan Single Source is thorough, accurate, and provides comprehensive, directly applicable information about current and future customers. It is unique in that it directs all the questions to each individual from a base survey sample of around 55,000 interviews in Australia and 15,000 interviews in New Zealand annually - the largest Single Source databases in the world. The questions asked relate to lifestyle and attitudes, media consumption habits (including TV, radio, newspapers, magazines, cinema, catalogues, pay TV and the Internet), brand and product usage, purchase intentions, retail visitations, service provider preferences, financial information and recreation and leisure activities. This lead product is supported by a nationally networked, consultancy-orientated market research capability.
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