Wednesday, May 22nd, 2013 - Roy Morgan Research

A special Online Morgan Poll conducted over the last few days shows that Australian electors are not impressed with Treasurer Wayne Swan’s Federal Budget – 29% say it is ‘bad’ (up 4% from a year ago); 49% (up 6%) say it is ‘average’ and only 15% (down 4%) say it is ‘good’ while 7% (down 5%) can’t say. 

Last weekend’s multi-mode weekly Morgan Poll shows support for the L-NP down 1% at 55% over the past week (since May 10-12, 2013) cf. ALP 45% (up 1%) on a two-party preferred basis.

The L-NP primary vote is 45.5% (down 1%) still well ahead of the ALP 32% (unchanged). Among the minor parties Greens support is 10% (up 0.5%) and Independents/ Others are 12.5% (up 0.5%).

If a Federal Election were held today the L-NP would win the election easily according to today’s multi-mode weekly Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention, May 17-19, 2013 with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,374 Australian electors aged 18+.

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating fell slightly to 102pts (down 1pt in a week) with 44% (up 2%) saying Australia is ‘heading in the right direction’ and 42% (up 3%) saying Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan & this week’s 2013 Federal Budget

A special Online Morgan Poll conducted over the last few days shows that Australian electors are not impressed with Treasurer Wayne Swan’s Federal Budget – 29% say it is ‘bad’ (up 4% from a year ago); 49% (up 6%) say it is ‘average’ and only 15% (down 4%) say it is ‘good’ while 7% (down 5%) can’t say.

In addition, although the majority of electors (57%) think the Budget will ‘have little effect’ on unemployment, clearly more electors think the Budget will have a negative impact on unemployment – 24% believe the Federal Budget will cause unemployment to ‘get worse’ compared to only 7% that think it will reduce unemployment while 12% can’t say.

Similarly, Australian electors do not believe the Budget will boost confidence in Australia’s economic future. Nearly half of Australian electors (48%) say the Federal Budget makes them feel ‘less confident’ about Australia’s economic future compared to 33% that say they feel ‘no different’ while only 15% say they feel ‘more confident’ and 4% can’t say.

Gary Morgan says:

“Today’s Morgan Poll shows a slight improvement for the Federal Government with the ALP (45%, up 1% in a week) narrowing the gap slightly on the L-NP (55%, down 1%) after Treasurer Wayne Swan delivered last week’s Federal Budget – potentially his sixth and last.

“Despite the improvement for the ALP this week, the Budget has not been received positively by Australian electors with 29% (up 4% from a year ago) of Australian electors saying the Federal Budget is ‘bad’ compared to only 15% (down 4%) of electors saying the Federal Budget is ‘good’ while most electors (49%, up 6%) say the Federal Budget is ‘average’.

“This year’s Federal Budget acceptance by the electorate is obviously much worse than a year ago when Treasurer Wayne Swan pledged to ‘deliver a surplus this year’ which never materialised! Last week’s Federal Budget is clearly lacking in the stimulus required to invigorate the Australian economy and despite the small improvement in voting intention for the Government this week the Federal Budget has done little to improve the Government’s prospects of re-election later this year at the Federal Election in September.”

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Keywords

Online Morgan Poll, Australian electors

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