Tuesday, May 14th, 2013 - Roy Morgan Research

The L-NP primary vote is 46.5% (up 0.5%) well ahead of the ALP 32% (unchanged). Among the minor parties Greens support is 9.5% (up 1%) and Independents/ Others are 12% (down 1.5%). 


Last weekend’s multi-mode weekly Morgan Poll shows support for the L-NP unchanged at 56% over the past week since May 3-5, 2013) cf. ALP 44% (also unchanged) on a two-party preferred basis.

The L-NP primary vote is 46.5% (up 0.5%) well ahead of the ALP 32% (unchanged). Among the minor parties Greens support is 9.5% (up 1%) and Independents/ Others are 12% (down 1.5%).

If a Federal Election were held today the L-NP would win the election easily according to today’s multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention conducted over the last few days, May 10-12, 2013 with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,350 Australian electors aged 18+.

With the RBA’s decision to drop interest rates by 0.25% to 2.75% the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating rose to 103pts (up 7pts in a week) with 42% (up 4%) saying Australia is ‘heading in the right direction’ and 39% (down 3%) saying Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan & this week’s 2013 Federal Budget

A special SMS Morgan Poll conducted over the last few days shows Australian electors do not have high expectations for Treasurer Wayne Swan’s sixth Federal Budget to be delivered tomorrow. An overwhelming majority of Australian electors (84%) believe tomorrow’s Federal Budget will not benefit them and their family compared to only 16% that believe tomorrow’s Federal Budget will.

A separate Morgan Poll asked of online respondents shows a clear majority of Australian electors (54.5%) do not approve of Wayne Swan’s handling of the job as Treasurer compared to only 28% that do approve while 17.5% can’t say.

Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision last week to cut Australian interest rates to an all-time low of 2.75% (down 0.25%), online respondents were asked what the RBA should do at its next meeting in early June – 50% of Australian electors believe the RBA should leave interest rates unchanged in June, 26% believe the RBA should cut interest rates, 9% believe the RBA should increase interest rates and 15% can’t say.

Gary Morgan says:

“Today’s Morgan Poll shows no improvement for the Federal Government with the L-NP (56%, unchanged in a week) maintaining a very strong two-party preferred lead over the ALP (44%, unchanged) as Treasurer Wayne Swan prepares to deliver his sixth, and possibly final, Federal Budget on Tuesday night.

“A special Morgan Poll conducted via SMS and online shows Australian electors are not impressed with the Treasurer as a clear majority of Australian electors (54.5%) do not approve of Wayne Swan’s handling of the job as Treasurer compared to just 28% that do approve, while an overwhelming majority of electors (84%) believe tomorrow’s Federal Budget will not benefit them and their family and only 16% believe it will.

“The Government’s decision to release much of the ‘bad news’ prior to tomorrow’s Federal Budget has been seen as a ploy to ensure that when Swan hands down the Federal Budget, the good news is given greater emphasis in the media. However, the Government’s failed promise to deliver a Budget Surplus this year appears to have ‘struck a chord’ in the electorate and provides the Opposition with an easy method to attack the Government’s economic credentials.”

View full article here

Contact Profile

Roy Morgan Research


Roy Morgan Research is Australia’s best known and longest established market research and public opinion survey company. Roy Morgan Single Source is thorough, accurate, and provides comprehensive, directly applicable information about current and future customers. It is unique in that it directs all the questions to each individual from a base survey sample of around 55,000 interviews in Australia and 15,000 interviews in New Zealand annually - the largest Single Source databases in the world. The questions asked relate to lifestyle and attitudes, media consumption habits (including TV, radio, newspapers, magazines, cinema, catalogues, pay TV and the Internet), brand and product usage, purchase intentions, retail visitations, service provider preferences, financial information and recreation and leisure activities. This lead product is supported by a nationally networked, consultancy-orientated market research capability.
Shaun Ellis
P: 03 9224 5332
W: www.roymorgan.com

Keywords

Weekly Morgan Poll, Tuesday’s Federal Budget

Categories

Sharing

More Formats